Dublin Real Estate Market Update

We are approaching the Spring selling season here in Dublin, CA and the real estate market looks like it is heating up again.  There are few homes on the market and they are going pending fast. As of this writing, there are 40 single family homes on the market with a median time on market of just 15 days and median list price of $1,027,000.

Looking at pending sales, there are currently 34 single family homes pending sale with a median time on market of just 12 days.  This means the market looks to be hot again this spring.  I think many people are looking to get in before the Fed increases rates.  I recently submitted an offer for a client in the $900k range and they had multiple offers and went pending for significantly over asking.

The Dublin real estate market never ceases to amaze me,  you think it might slow down but it hasn’t so far.

Market Stats- Dublin, CA for January 2014

In January 2014 the to date average days on market is 21. However, average days on market has been going up. In Dec. 2013 it was 28 days and in Jan. 2014 it went up to 39 days. This doesn’t say a whole lot because just 1 or 2 homes that have been on the market for a long time (like the ones well over $1million) will skew the average days on market. Homes in the “sweet spot” of under $850k sell very quickly. Median sales price was $685,000 in Dublin for detached single family homes in January. This is down from December 2013 when median price sold was $848,000. To me, average price is more telling because it gives an overall view of the market, whereas median price just tells you the price that was in the middle. It just depends on what kind of homes happened to sell that month. That being said, average sales price in Dublin for single family homes was $787,931 in January.

Interestingly, average price per/sq. ft went up to $369 from $360 in Dec. 2013. There is only about 1 month of inventory in Dublin right now, which is quite low. Homes are selling for an average of 99.12% of list price now. This will be an interesting stat to keep track of. Last July homes were selling for an average of 105% of list price. As of this writing, there are 39 single family homes active on the market with an average price of $1,098,000.

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Dublin, CA Housing Stats- Single Family

2011 finished fairly strongly with 29 single family homes sold in Dublin, CA in December 2011.  As of December 2011 there was only 1.1 months of supply on the market compared to 2.1 months in December 2010.  The average selling price was $565,000 or $264 per sq. ft.  Homes sold at an average of 98% sale price/list price ratio.  All of these signs point to a relatively healthy real estate market in Dublin.  Combined with record low interest rates, homes are not staying long on the market, averaging 34 DOM.  Many buyers are attracted by the relative affordability of Dublin vs Pleasanton and San Ramon, while still having access to newer homes, great schools, and great location close to freeways and shopping.  See graphic below for detailed stats.

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Dublin Housing Market Trends

For those of you interested in the housing market trends in Dublin, CA here is what’s happening as of August 2009.  Data was obtained from Bay East Assoc. of Realtors.

Median Sold Price Per Month

August 08 vs. August 09: The median price is down 17% from $657,200 to $543,000 for ALL housing types.  However, based on the chart below it appears median price has begun to stabilize.

August 2009 Median Sales Price
August 2009 Median Sales Price

The Number of Sold Properties by Month

August 08 vs. August 09: The number of sold properties is down 12%.  As you can see from the below graph the numbers are up and down each month and there is no clear trend established.

The Number of Sold Properties by Month

The Number of Properties For Sale by Month

August 08 vs. August 09: The number of houses for sale is down 47%.   This may  help to explain the declining sales numbers- much less inventory!

The Number of For Sale Properties by Month

The Number of Under Contract Properties by Month

August 08 vs. August 09: The number of under contract properties is up 115%!  Although the number of sales is down overall from August 2008, it appears the trend may be going up since the number of under contract properties has increased by 115%- a significant increase.

The Number of Under Contract Properties by Month

 

The Average Days on the Market by Month

August 2008 vs. August 2009: The average days on the market is down 9%.  This makes sense since the number of homes in contract has gone up 115% from Aug. 2008 to Aug. 2009.

Average Days on the Market by Month

 

Months Supply of Inventory

August 2008 vs. August 2009: The average months of supply inventory is down 84%.   In August 2008 there was over 7  months of inventory and in August 2009 there is just over 1 month of inventory.  This is also a significant change.

Months Supply of Inventory

Summary

Due to significantly reduced median prices from August 2008 in addition to currently low interest rates, homes in Dublin have become much more affordable.  Although the number of sold homes in Aug. 2009 is down from August 2008, the trend appears to be going up since number of homes in contract is up significantly and inventory and days on market is down significantly.  It appears buyers are taking advantage of the lower prices and interest rates and also taking advantage of the federal first time homebuyer’s credit.  Will this trend continue?  I’d love to hear your thoughts!